I really worry about Perfect Beetlejuice It’s Show Time Shirt people (and to be frank it is mainly white people) who claim not to support Trump but secretly do. People who share his racism but don’t want to admit it. People who live among more progressive people, are friends with them, but at the same time like Trump’s racism and when they’re in the ballot box they vote for him but wouldn’t admit that to a pollster. That would skew polls so I’m going to stay anxious about this until the day it’s over. There’s a difference in their leads, however. Hillary was really close to 50% nationally, Biden is over it.
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Texas was never Perfect Beetlejuice It’s Show Time Shirt competitive for Hillary, while Biden is leading Texas, according to 538. That’s not to say that Biden has this in the bag, because he hasn’t. But it is to say that insinuating that their leads aren’t the same. The takeaway isn’t that “polls are fake” or “polls are unreliable”, the takeaway is that “polls shouldn’t breed complacency”. Hillary was favored to win, and she ended up with the popular vote but lost because of low voter turnout in key states that resulted in trump winning more electoral votes. Even if your candidate is predicted to win in a landslide, you still need to vote. Don’t get complacent.